Premier Division
Match Analysis
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
L
D
D
L
L
L
St Patrick's Athl.
W
D
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl. | Dundalk | 1 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| Dundalk | St Patrick's Athl. | 2 - 0 | April 6, 2026 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | Dundalk | 4 - 0 | February 27, 2026 |
| Dundalk | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 2 | September 5, 2024 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | Dundalk | 2 - 3 | June 3, 2024 |
| Dundalk | St Patrick's Athl. | 0 - 0 | April 12, 2024 |
Dundalk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Shamrock Rovers | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Drogheda United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Shelbourne | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Waterford | 2 - 3 | Loss |
St Patrick's Athl. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Shelbourne | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Derry City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Dundalk | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Doncaster | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Waterford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Galway United | 3 - 0 | Win |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 22 | +19 | 44 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 37 |
Predictions
St Patrick's Athl. to win
This prediction indicates that St Patrick's Athl. has a 44.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.97 %Most Likely Scorelines
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