Dundalk vs Waterford Friday 26th June 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dundalk Waterford

Dundalk W W W D W L

Waterford L W D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Waterford	Dundalk	3 - 3	May 4, 2026
Dundalk	Waterford	5 - 0	March 13, 2026
Waterford	Dundalk	2 - 1	September 13, 2024
Dundalk	Waterford	0 - 2	June 28, 2024
Waterford	Dundalk	4 - 1	May 10, 2024
Dundalk	Waterford	0 - 0	March 15, 2024

Dundalk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Away	Bohemians	1 - 2	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Galway United	0 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Derry City	2 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Drogheda United	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Bohemians	1 - 3	Loss

Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Sligo Rovers	4 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Drogheda United	3 - 3	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Shelbourne	2 - 1	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Drogheda United	2 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Derry City	2 - 2	Draw

Premier Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Dundalk	21	9	8	4	34	29	+5	35
10	Waterford	21	2	8	11	25	42	-17	14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.68% likelihood that both Dundalk and Waterford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dundalk to win

This prediction indicates that Dundalk has a 50.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.75 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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