Dundee vs Airdrie United Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dundee Airdrie United

Dundee L W L W W L

Airdrie United D L L D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dundee	Airdrie United	0 - 1	July 12, 2025
Dundee	Airdrie United	4 - 0	February 8, 2025
Dundee	Airdrie United	6 - 1	August 17, 2024
Airdrie United	Dundee	1 - 0	July 22, 2023
Dundee	Airdrie United	2 - 2	November 26, 2022

Dundee Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Livingston	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Aberdeen	3 - 2	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Livingston	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	ST Mirren	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Loss

Airdrie United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Elgin City	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 2	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Away	Morton	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Partick	2 - 2	Draw

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Airdrie United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dundee	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that both Dundee and Airdrie United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Airdrie United to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Airdrie United has a 37.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.91 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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