Championship
Match Analysis
Dunfermline
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
W
W
L
W
W
L
Ayr Utd
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | 0 - 3 | April 7, 2026 |
| Dunfermline | Ayr Utd | 2 - 3 | December 20, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | October 31, 2025 |
| Dunfermline | Ayr Utd | 0 - 1 | September 23, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | 3 - 0 | March 29, 2025 |
| Dunfermline | Ayr Utd | 0 - 2 | January 14, 2025 |
Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Cove Rangers | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Dumbarton | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | East Kilbride | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Kelty Hearts | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Clyde | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | FC Botosani | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Edinburgh City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Falkirk | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Stranraer | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Dumbarton | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Glenafton Athletic | 3 - 0 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Ayr Utd | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Dunfermline | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Dunfermline to win
This prediction indicates that Dunfermline has a 48.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.64 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments