Dunfermline vs Partick Friday 25th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Championship

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Dunfermline Partick

Dunfermline D W L L D D

Partick W D D L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Partick	Dunfermline	2 - 1	May 15, 2026
Dunfermline	Partick	1 - 1	May 12, 2026
Partick	Dunfermline	2 - 0	April 11, 2026
Dunfermline	Partick	2 - 2	February 24, 2026
Partick	Dunfermline	1 - 0	November 25, 2025
Dunfermline	Partick	0 - 2	September 27, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Arbroath	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Livingston	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Ross County	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Inverness CT	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Away	Inverness CT	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	Hibernian	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Home	Livingston	2 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Morton	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Partick	4	2	2	0	4	1	+3	8
7	Dunfermline	4	1	2	1	2	3	-1	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Partick has a 38.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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