CAF Confederation Cup
Match Analysis
East End Lions
AFAD
East End Lions
D
L
L
L
L
AFAD
D
L
W
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Despite AFAD having a modest quality edge and better recent form compared to East End Lions, the model predicts a home win with a 39% probability. The prediction is influenced by East End Lions' recent defensive struggles, which may create opportunities for AFAD to score. However, the model also sees a reasonable chance that East End Lions will find the net themselves, given the prediction that both teams are likely to score. The model expects a relatively open match, leaning towards more than one goal being scored, and also suggests there’s a slight edge toward more than two goals being scored overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD | East End Lions | 1 - 1 | September 6, 2026 |
East End Lions Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | AFAD | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 28, 25 | Away | US Monastirienne | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 21, 25 | Home | US Monastirienne | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 24 | Away | Jaraaf | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 24 | Home | Jaraaf | 0 - 1 | Loss |
AFAD Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | East End Lions | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 25, 25 | Away | USM Alger | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 19, 25 | Home | USM Alger | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 27, 25 | Home | Génération Foot | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 21, 25 | Away | Génération Foot | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 30, 23 | Home | CO Coyah | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that both East End Lions and AFAD will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.East End Lions or AFAD to win
This prediction indicates that East End Lions has a 38.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.74 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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