East Kilbride vs Dunfermline Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

East Kilbride Dunfermline

East Kilbride W W W W L W

Dunfermline W L L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dunfermline	East Kilbride	4 - 0	July 27, 2019

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	4 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Clyde	5 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Dumbarton	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	4 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Home	Annan Athletic	2 - 1	Win

Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	FC Botosani	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 0	Draw

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Dunfermline	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	East Kilbride	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that both East Kilbride and Dunfermline will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

East Kilbride to win

This prediction indicates that East Kilbride has a 41.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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