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National League - South

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ebbsfleet United Hemel Hempstead Town
Ebbsfleet United L W D L W L
Hemel Hempstead Town W L W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ebbsfleet United Hemel Hempstead Town 2 - 2 February 3, 2026
Hemel Hempstead Town Ebbsfleet United 0 - 0 September 2, 2025
Ebbsfleet United Hemel Hempstead Town 0 - 0 March 4, 2023
Hemel Hempstead Town Ebbsfleet United 1 - 1 October 29, 2022
Hemel Hempstead Town Ebbsfleet United 1 - 3 January 8, 2022
Ebbsfleet United Hemel Hempstead Town 3 - 1 August 28, 2021

Ebbsfleet United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Gillingham 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Cray Valley PM 2 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home Cardiff MET 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home West Ham United U21 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Aveley 1 - 4 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Wycombe 4 - 0 Loss

Hemel Hempstead Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Salisbury 1 - 2 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Maidenhead 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Farnborough 0 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away St Albans City 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Wealdstone 1 - 0 Loss

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Hemel Hempstead Town 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
20 Ebbsfleet United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Ebbsfleet United to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ebbsfleet United has a 38.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.87 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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