Ecuador vs Curaçao Sunday 21st June 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Ecuador Curaçao

Ecuador L W W D D W

Curaçao L W L L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Ivory Coast	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Guatemala	3 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Saudi Arabia	2 - 1	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	Netherlands	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Away	Morocco	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 19, 25	Home	New Zealand	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Germany	7 - 1	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Aruba	4 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Scotland	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 25, 25	Away	Honduras	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 25	Home	Canada	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 18, 25	Home	El Salvador	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
37	Ecuador	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
48	Curaçao	1	0	0	1	1	7	-6	0

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ecuador has a 70.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.95 %

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