Edinburgh City vs Elgin City Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Edinburgh City Elgin City

Edinburgh City W L D L D L

Elgin City L L W W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Edinburgh City	Elgin City	0 - 3	March 21, 2026
Elgin City	Edinburgh City	3 - 0	February 24, 2026
Edinburgh City	Elgin City	1 - 3	November 8, 2025
Elgin City	Edinburgh City	2 - 4	August 23, 2025
Edinburgh City	Elgin City	2 - 0	April 12, 2025
Elgin City	Edinburgh City	1 - 2	February 22, 2025

Edinburgh City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Falkirk	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	3 - 3	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Brora Rangers	2 - 0	Loss

Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Peterhead	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Johnstone Burgh	2 - 3	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Nairn County	0 - 6	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stranraer	0 - 1	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Elgin City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Edinburgh City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.29% likelihood that both Edinburgh City and Elgin City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Elgin City to win

This prediction indicates that Elgin City has a 53.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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