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1. Division logo

1. Division

July 4, 2026 4 days, 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Egersund Moss
Egersund L W L L L D
Moss L L W D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Egersund Moss 2 - 0 October 22, 2025
Moss Egersund 2 - 4 June 28, 2025
Egersund Moss 3 - 2 August 26, 2024
Moss Egersund 1 - 2 April 27, 2024
Egersund Moss 2 - 2 October 8, 2022
Moss Egersund 2 - 0 June 26, 2022

Egersund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Sogndal 4 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Haugesund 5 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Stabaek 3 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stromsgodset 0 - 5 Loss
May 25, 26 Away hodd 3 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Lyn 0 - 0 Draw

Moss Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Strommen 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Sandnes ULF 1 - 4 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Sogndal 2 - 4 Win
May 30, 26 Home Stabaek 2 - 2 Draw
May 25, 26 Away Haugesund 3 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Stromsgodset 1 - 1 Draw

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Moss 12 5 2 5 21 26 -5 17
9 Egersund 12 5 1 6 19 21 -2 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.11% likelihood that both Egersund and Moss will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Egersund to win
This prediction indicates that Egersund has a 44.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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