Egersund vs Moss Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Egersund Moss

Egersund L W L L L D

Moss L L W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Egersund	Moss	2 - 0	October 22, 2025
Moss	Egersund	2 - 4	June 28, 2025
Egersund	Moss	3 - 2	August 26, 2024
Moss	Egersund	1 - 2	April 27, 2024
Egersund	Moss	2 - 2	October 8, 2022
Moss	Egersund	2 - 0	June 26, 2022

Egersund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sogndal	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Haugesund	5 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Stabaek	3 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Stromsgodset	0 - 5	Loss
May 25, 26	Away	hodd	3 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Lyn	0 - 0	Draw

Moss Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Strommen	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Sandnes ULF	1 - 4	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Sogndal	2 - 4	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Stabaek	2 - 2	Draw
May 25, 26	Away	Haugesund	3 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Stromsgodset	1 - 1	Draw

1. Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Moss	12	5	2	5	21	26	-5	17
9	Egersund	12	5	1	6	19	21	-2	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.11% likelihood that both Egersund and Moss will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Egersund to win

This prediction indicates that Egersund has a 44.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply