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1. Division logo

1. Division

Aug. 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Egersund Stabaek
Egersund D W L W L L
Stabaek W W W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stabaek Egersund 3 - 1 June 14, 2026
Stabaek Egersund 1 - 1 March 13, 2026
Egersund Stabaek 1 - 1 September 13, 2025
Stabaek Egersund 1 - 3 June 18, 2025
Egersund Stabaek 2 - 1 September 25, 2024
Stabaek Egersund 4 - 5 May 27, 2024

Egersund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Asane 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Moss 3 - 0 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Sogndal 4 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Haugesund 5 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Stabaek 3 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stromsgodset 0 - 5 Loss

Stabaek Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 27, 26 Home hodd 6 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away Ranheim 2 - 5 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Bryne 2 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Strommen 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Egersund 3 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Moss 2 - 2 Draw

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Stabaek 15 9 3 3 38 16 +22 30
8 Egersund 15 6 2 7 27 28 -1 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.72% likelihood that both Egersund and Stabaek will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stabaek to win
This prediction indicates that Stabaek has a 48.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.66 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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