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UEFA Champions League

July 21, 2026 4 days, 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Celje
Egnatia Rrogozhinë W D W D D W
Celje D W D L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 15, 26 Home Petrocub 6 - 1 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away Petrocub 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away FC Botosani 1 - 3 Win
Aug 14, 25 Home Olimpija Ljubljana 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 7, 25 Away Olimpija Ljubljana 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 25 Home Dinamo Minsk 1 - 0 Win

Celje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Home Istra 1961 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 8, 26 Home MTK Budapest 4 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Cukaricki 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 1, 26 Home HNK Hajduk Split 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Shkendija 1 - 0 Win
May 22, 26 Away Primorje 0 - 4 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.13% likelihood that both Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Celje will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Celje to win
This prediction indicates that Celje has a 45.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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