El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre Wednesday 05th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

El Nacional 9 de Octubre

El Nacional L L L D L L

9 de Octubre D D D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
9 de Octubre	El Nacional	3 - 1	May 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Cuniburo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Cumbayá	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Atletico FC	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Vargas Torres	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	4 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	LDU Portoviejo	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Cumbayá	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Gualaceo SC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	LDU Portoviejo	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Cuniburo	2 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Atletico FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	3 - 3	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	9 de Octubre	17	8	7	2	19	11	+8	31
12	El Nacional	17	0	4	13	10	29	-19	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that 9 de Octubre has a 41.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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