Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
El Nacional
Cumbayá
El Nacional
D
L
L
L
L
D
Cumbayá
L
D
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2026 |
| El Nacional | Cumbayá | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
| El Nacional | Cumbayá | 2 - 2 | August 26, 2023 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 2 - 0 | April 2, 2023 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 0 - 0 | August 25, 2021 |
El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 26 | Home | Vargas Torres | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | 9 de Octubre | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | 22 de Julio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Cumbayá Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 4, 26 | Away | Cuniburo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Ind. Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Vargas Torres | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 7, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 3 | Win |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cumbayá | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cumbayá to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cumbayá has a 40.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.48 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments