Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
El Nacional
Cumbayá
El Nacional
L
L
D
L
W
W
Cumbayá
L
D
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | Cumbayá | 0 - 1 | July 8, 2026 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2026 |
| El Nacional | Cumbayá | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
| El Nacional | Cumbayá | 2 - 2 | August 26, 2023 |
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | 2 - 0 | April 2, 2023 |
El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Ind. Juniors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | 9 de Octubre | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | 22 de Julio | 1 - 3 | Win |
Cumbayá Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Santo Domingo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Atletico FC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Vargas Torres | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cumbayá | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.El Nacional to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that El Nacional has a 35.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.70 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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