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Liga Pro Serie B

Sept. 5, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

El Nacional LDU Portoviejo
El Nacional D L W W D L
LDU Portoviejo W D D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
El Nacional LDU Portoviejo 0 - 1 May 31, 2026
LDU Portoviejo El Nacional 2 - 1 March 28, 2026
El Nacional LDU Portoviejo 1 - 1 September 1, 2021
LDU Portoviejo El Nacional 2 - 0 July 14, 2021
El Nacional LDU Portoviejo 1 - 2 June 3, 2021
LDU Portoviejo El Nacional 3 - 0 March 31, 2021

El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Ind. Juniors 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Home San Antonio 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Home 9 de Octubre 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away 22 de Julio 1 - 3 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home Gualaceo SC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Away Cuniburo 2 - 1 Loss

LDU Portoviejo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home 22 de Julio 2 - 0 Win
Aug 13, 26 Away Cuniburo 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Cumbayá 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 30, 26 Away Atletico FC 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Vargas Torres 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Ind. Juniors 0 - 1 Loss

Liga Pro Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17 22 -5 27
12 El Nacional 22 2 6 14 15 32 -17 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
El Nacional to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that El Nacional has a 39.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.15 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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