Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
El Nacional
Vargas Torres
El Nacional
L
L
L
L
D
L
Vargas Torres
W
L
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas Torres | El Nacional | 1 - 1 | April 10, 2026 |
El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | 9 de Octubre | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | 22 de Julio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Vargas Torres Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | 22 de Julio | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Cumbayá | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Atletico FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | 9 de Octubre | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 5, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 3 - 0 | Win |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vargas Torres | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Vargas Torres to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Vargas Torres has a 41.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.18 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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