USL Championship
Match Analysis
El Paso Locomotive
Lexington
El Paso Locomotive
L
D
L
L
W
W
Lexington
L
W
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 2 | October 11, 2025 |
| El Paso Locomotive | Lexington | 2 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 7, 26 | Away | New Mexico United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 30, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Apr 5, 26 | Home | Las Vegas Lights | 3 - 2 | Win |
Lexington Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 1 - 1 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | El Paso Locomotive | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 14 |
| 22 | Lexington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that both El Paso Locomotive and Lexington will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.El Paso Locomotive to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that El Paso Locomotive has a 35.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.64 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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