El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Sunday 14th June 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

El Paso Locomotive Phoenix Rising

El Paso Locomotive D L L D L L

Phoenix Rising L W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Paso Locomotive	Phoenix Rising	0 - 1	November 2, 2025
Phoenix Rising	El Paso Locomotive	3 - 3	August 31, 2025
El Paso Locomotive	Phoenix Rising	4 - 4	March 16, 2025
Phoenix Rising	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 0	July 20, 2024
El Paso Locomotive	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	June 16, 2024
El Paso Locomotive	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	September 24, 2023

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Away	Detroit City	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lexington	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	San Antonio	2 - 3	Loss

Phoenix Rising Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 11, 26	Home	Louisville City	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	3 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	San Antonio	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Miami FC	0 - 3	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Phoenix Rising	12	4	4	4	15	14	+1	16
16	El Paso Locomotive	11	4	3	4	22	21	+1	15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.54% likelihood that both El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Phoenix Rising to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Phoenix Rising has a 36.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.61 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 71.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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