USL Championship
Match Analysis
El Paso Locomotive
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
El Paso Locomotive
W
W
L
W
L
W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
D
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 0 | October 27, 2024 |
| El Paso Locomotive | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 0 | April 23, 2023 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 0 | May 14, 2022 |
El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 2 | Win |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 2 - 1 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 27 |
| 15 | El Paso Locomotive | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 25 |
Predictions
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 38.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.67 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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