Primera C
Match Analysis
El Porvenir
Central Ballester
El Porvenir
W
L
D
L
L
D
Central Ballester
W
L
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match between El Porvenir and Central Ballester shows a modest quality edge in favor of El Porvenir, but their recent poor form contrasts with Central Ballester's moderate form. Despite this, El Porvenir has historically dominated their past encounters, and goals have been rare in these meetings. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which is close to what the market odds suggest. The model also strongly leans toward under 2.5 goals, more confident than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Ballester | El Porvenir | 1 - 2 | April 27, 2026 |
| Central Ballester | El Porvenir | 0 - 1 | October 21, 2024 |
| El Porvenir | Central Ballester | 0 - 0 | May 19, 2024 |
| Central Ballester | El Porvenir | 0 - 3 | November 13, 2023 |
| El Porvenir | Central Ballester | 1 - 0 | July 31, 2023 |
| El Porvenir | Central Ballester | 2 - 0 | May 28, 2023 |
El Porvenir Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | JJ Urquiza | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Yupanqui | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Fénix | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Sportivo Barracas | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Mercedes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Lujan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Central Ballester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Fénix | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lujan | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | General Lamadrid | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Leones de Rosario | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | El Porvenir | 24 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 29 |
| 21 | Central Ballester | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.El Porvenir to win
This prediction indicates that El Porvenir has a 49.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.22 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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