El Porvenir vs Lujan Saturday 11th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

El Porvenir Lujan

El Porvenir D L D W D L

Lujan W W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lujan	El Porvenir	1 - 1	March 14, 2026
Lujan	El Porvenir	1 - 0	October 3, 2025
El Porvenir	Lujan	1 - 1	September 27, 2025
Lujan	El Porvenir	0 - 0	August 13, 2024
El Porvenir	Lujan	0 - 2	March 23, 2024
El Porvenir	Lujan	2 - 3	July 2, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Leones de Rosario	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Atletico Atlas	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Canuelas	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Deportivo Muñiz	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Deportivo Español	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Juventud Unida	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Yupanqui	2 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	General Lamadrid	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Leones de Rosario	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Atletico Atlas	2 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Canuelas	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Lujan	16	8	5	3	20	11	+9	29
12	El Porvenir	17	4	11	2	14	12	+2	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lujan has a 40.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.66 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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