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Primera C

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

El Porvenir Lujan
El Porvenir D L D W D L
Lujan W W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lujan El Porvenir 1 - 1 March 14, 2026
Lujan El Porvenir 1 - 0 October 3, 2025
El Porvenir Lujan 1 - 1 September 27, 2025
Lujan El Porvenir 0 - 0 August 13, 2024
El Porvenir Lujan 0 - 2 March 23, 2024
El Porvenir Lujan 2 - 3 July 2, 2022

El Porvenir Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Leones de Rosario 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Atletico Atlas 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Canuelas 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Deportivo Muñiz 2 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Deportivo Español 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Juventud Unida 0 - 1 Loss

Lujan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Yupanqui 2 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away General Lamadrid 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Leones de Rosario 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Atletico Atlas 2 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Away Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home Canuelas 2 - 1 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Lujan 16 8 5 3 20 11 +9 29
12 El Porvenir 17 4 11 2 14 12 +2 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lujan to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lujan has a 40.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.66 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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