Cup
Match Analysis
Ellas Syros
Marko
Ellas Syros
W
D
W
L
W
W
Marko
D
W
W
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Ellas Syros are in strong recent form, while Marko are only moderately in form. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality and Marko having a rest advantage, the model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also sees the game ending with fewer than two goals, and with one team not scoring, both aligning with its lower confidence compared to the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ellas Syros | Marko | 0 - 2 | December 13, 2025 |
| Marko | Ellas Syros | 1 - 1 | October 11, 2025 |
Ellas Syros Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Panargiakos | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Kallithea | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Ilioupoli | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Mar 29, 26 | Away | Egaleo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 21, 26 | Home | Kissamikos | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 15, 26 | Home | Panargiakos | 3 - 1 | Win |
Marko Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 26 | Home | Kalamata | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Mar 15, 26 | Home | Panionios | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 7, 26 | Away | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Mar 1, 26 | Away | Kalamata | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Feb 21, 26 | Away | Panionios | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Feb 15, 26 | Home | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Ellas Syros to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ellas Syros has a 40.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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