Emelec vs Barcelona SC Sunday 12th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Emelec Barcelona SC

Emelec W W D D L W

Barcelona SC L L W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Barcelona SC	Emelec	1 - 0	March 7, 2026
Emelec	Barcelona SC	0 - 4	September 14, 2025
Barcelona SC	Emelec	2 - 0	May 18, 2025
Emelec	Barcelona SC	0 - 1	February 12, 2025
Barcelona SC	Emelec	1 - 0	February 2, 2025
Barcelona SC	Emelec	2 - 1	October 20, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Macara	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Manta FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Libertad	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	LDU de Quito	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	1 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Away	U. Catolica	2 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Aucas	3 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Barcelona SC	15	7	5	3	18	12	+6	26
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13	16	-3	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Barcelona SC has a 38.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.52 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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