Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
L
W
D
W
L
W
Libertad
L
W
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | Emelec | 1 - 1 | September 4, 2026 |
| Emelec | Libertad | 1 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Libertad | Emelec | 1 - 2 | August 3, 2025 |
| Emelec | Libertad | 1 - 1 | April 12, 2025 |
| Libertad | Emelec | 2 - 1 | November 30, 2024 |
| Emelec | Libertad | 0 - 0 | June 1, 2024 |
Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Macara | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Manta FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Libertad | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Leones del Norte | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 2 - 1 | Win |
Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Emelec | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Aucas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Macara | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Emelec to win
This prediction indicates that Emelec has a 42.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.25 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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