Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Emelec Tecnico Universitario

Emelec L D L W D D

Tecnico Universitario W L L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tecnico Universitario	Emelec	0 - 1	April 22, 2026
Tecnico Universitario	Emelec	0 - 1	August 17, 2025
Emelec	Tecnico Universitario	0 - 1	April 27, 2025
Emelec	Tecnico Universitario	3 - 1	September 22, 2024
Tecnico Universitario	Emelec	1 - 1	April 7, 2024
Tecnico Universitario	Emelec	0 - 0	August 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	6 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Orense SC	0 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Manta FC	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Aucas	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Libertad	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Macara	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Away	Orense SC	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Emelec	22	7	7	8	19	26	-7	28
12	Tecnico Universitario	22	8	2	12	20	24	-4	26

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Emelec has a 48.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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