Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
W
D
D
L
W
W
Universidad Catolica
W
D
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | Emelec | 1 - 1 | April 9, 2026 |
| Universidad Catolica | Emelec | 1 - 1 | June 26, 2025 |
| Emelec | Universidad Catolica | 0 - 4 | February 16, 2025 |
| Universidad Catolica | Emelec | 2 - 0 | October 26, 2024 |
| Emelec | Universidad Catolica | 2 - 1 | May 5, 2024 |
| Emelec | Universidad Catolica | 2 - 1 | October 29, 2023 |
Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Macara | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Manta FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Libertad | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Leones del Norte | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | LDU de Quito | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 22, 26 | Away | Tecnico Universitario | 0 - 1 | Win |
Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Orense SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Delfin SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Aucas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 27, 26 | Away | Manta FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | Macara | 4 - 0 | Win |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 19 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 41.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.44 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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