England vs Croatia Wednesday 17th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

England Croatia

England W W L D W W

Croatia W L L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
England	Croatia	1 - 0	June 13, 2021
England	Croatia	2 - 1	November 18, 2018
Croatia	England	0 - 0	October 12, 2018
Croatia	England	1 - 1	July 11, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Costa Rica	3 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	New Zealand	1 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Home	Japan	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 27, 26	Home	Uruguay	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 16, 25	Away	Albania	0 - 2	Win
Nov 13, 25	Home	Serbia	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Slovenia	2 - 1	Win
Jun 2, 26	Home	Belgium	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 1, 26	Away	Brazil	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 26, 26	Away	Colombia	1 - 2	Win
Nov 17, 25	Away	Montenegro	2 - 3	Win
Nov 14, 25	Home	Faroe Islands	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
27	Croatia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	England	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that England has a 44.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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