Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Erbil
Al-Karma
Erbil
W
D
W
W
W
W
Al-Karma
D
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | Erbil | 2 - 3 | March 7, 2026 |
| Erbil | Al-Karma | 2 - 1 | October 3, 2025 |
| Al-Karma | Erbil | 1 - 0 | April 23, 2025 |
| Erbil | Al-Karma | 1 - 1 | January 10, 2025 |
Erbil Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Al Karkh | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Al Kahrabaa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Baghdad | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Away | Zakho | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Al Shorta | 0 - 2 | Win |
Al-Karma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Al Kahrabaa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al Shorta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Mosul | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 2, 26 | Away | Al Kahrabaa | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Diyala | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 19, 26 | Away | Al Talaba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Erbil to win
This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 44.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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