Erbil vs Baghdad Tuesday 02nd June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Erbil Baghdad

Erbil W W L W D L

Baghdad L W L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Baghdad	Erbil	1 - 1	January 31, 2026
Baghdad	Erbil	1 - 3	May 26, 2024
Erbil	Baghdad	4 - 1	February 29, 2024
Baghdad	Erbil	1 - 1	February 15, 2022
Erbil	Baghdad	1 - 2	September 26, 2021
Erbil	Baghdad	2 - 2	February 24, 2021

Erbil Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Al Shorta	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Newroz	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 4	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Al Karkh	1 - 0	Loss

Baghdad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	Gharraf	1 - 3	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Diyala	1 - 4	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Al Karkh	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Al-Qasim	2 - 2	Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Erbil	37	20	11	6	55	31	+24	71
18	Baghdad	37	9	8	20	44	66	-22	35

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that both Erbil and Baghdad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Erbil to win

This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 63.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.22 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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