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Iraqi League

June 2, 2026 3 weeks, 6 days ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Erbil Baghdad
Erbil W W L W D L
Baghdad L W L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Baghdad Erbil 1 - 1 January 31, 2026
Baghdad Erbil 1 - 3 May 26, 2024
Erbil Baghdad 4 - 1 February 29, 2024
Baghdad Erbil 1 - 1 February 15, 2022
Erbil Baghdad 1 - 2 September 26, 2021
Erbil Baghdad 2 - 2 February 24, 2021

Erbil Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 28, 26 Away Zakho 1 - 2 Win
May 20, 26 Away Al Shorta 0 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Home Newroz 0 - 1 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Al Najaf 1 - 4 Win
May 6, 26 Home Al Kahrabaa 2 - 2 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Al Karkh 1 - 0 Loss

Baghdad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 27, 26 Home Gharraf 1 - 3 Loss
May 19, 26 Away Diyala 1 - 4 Win
May 15, 26 Home Al Kahrabaa 0 - 1 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Al Karkh 2 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Away Al Najaf 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Al-Qasim 2 - 2 Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Erbil 37 20 11 6 55 31 +24 71
18 Baghdad 37 9 8 20 44 66 -22 35

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that both Erbil and Baghdad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Erbil to win
This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 63.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.22 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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