Eritrea vs South Africa Sunday 27th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Eritrea South Africa

Eritrea W W L L L L

South Africa L W D L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Away	Eswatini	1 - 2	Win
Mar 25, 26	Home	Eswatini	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 25	Home	Niger	0 - 1	Loss
Jan 25, 20	Home	Sudan	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 10, 19	Away	Namibia	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 19	Home	Namibia	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Canada	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Home	South Korea	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	Czech Republic	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Away	Mexico	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Jamaica	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Nicaragua	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that South Africa has a 36.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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