Esbjerg vs Hobro Saturday 15th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Esbjerg Hobro

Esbjerg D L L W D W

Hobro L W W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Esbjerg	Hobro	1 - 1	October 16, 2025
Hobro	Esbjerg	2 - 0	August 24, 2025
Esbjerg	Hobro	3 - 2	November 3, 2024
Hobro	Esbjerg	3 - 6	July 26, 2024
Hobro	Esbjerg	1 - 2	May 22, 2022
Esbjerg	Hobro	2 - 2	March 31, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Kolding IF	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	FC Fredericia	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Mafra	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Aarhus Fremad	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vejle	3 - 3	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lyngby	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Aarhus Fremad	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Hamburger SV II	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Middelfart	4 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	AC Horsens	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Middelfart	3 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	HB Koge	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Esbjerg	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
10	Hobro	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

This prediction indicates that Esbjerg has a 49.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.30 %

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