Estac Troyes vs Paris FC Saturday 22nd August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Ligue 1

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Estac Troyes Paris FC

Estac Troyes W L W W L W

Paris FC D D W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Paris FC	Estac Troyes	1 - 0	February 21, 2025
Estac Troyes	Paris FC	0 - 3	October 21, 2024
Estac Troyes	Paris FC	1 - 2	July 17, 2024
Estac Troyes	Paris FC	1 - 2	April 13, 2024
Paris FC	Estac Troyes	2 - 2	October 28, 2023
Paris FC	Estac Troyes	1 - 0	December 21, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Chasselay MDA	5 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Grenoble	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	RED Star FC 93	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Nancy	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Grenoble	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Laval	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	VfB Stuttgart	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	como	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Reims	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Rennes	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Stade Brestois 29	4 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Paris FC	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Estac Troyes	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Estac Troyes has a 37.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %

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