Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Estrela
Academico Viseu
Estrela
D
W
D
D
W
D
Academico Viseu
L
D
L
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | Estrela | 1 - 1 | March 5, 2023 |
| Estrela | Academico Viseu | 2 - 1 | September 12, 2022 |
| Academico Viseu | Estrela | 0 - 4 | March 5, 2022 |
| Estrela | Academico Viseu | 4 - 0 | October 10, 2021 |
Estrela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Famalicao | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Nacional | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Alverca | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sporting CP | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Maritimo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Academico Viseu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | FC Porto | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Maritimo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Santa Clara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Benfica | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Celta Vigo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Estrela | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
Predictions
Estrela to win
This prediction indicates that Estrela has a 53.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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