Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Estrela
SC Braga
Estrela
D
D
W
D
D
W
SC Braga
W
D
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | Estrela | 2 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Estrela | SC Braga | 3 - 3 | January 3, 2026 |
| Estrela | SC Braga | 0 - 1 | January 19, 2025 |
| SC Braga | Estrela | 1 - 1 | August 11, 2024 |
| SC Braga | Estrela | 3 - 0 | March 2, 2024 |
| Estrela | SC Braga | 2 - 4 | September 28, 2023 |
Estrela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Alverca | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sporting CP | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Maritimo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Portimonense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1 - 0 | Win |
SC Braga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Austria Vienna | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Dinamo Minsk | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Moreirense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Dinamo Minsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Železničar Pančevo | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Železničar Pančevo | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.SC Braga to win
This prediction indicates that SC Braga has a 62.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.11 %Most Likely Scorelines
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