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Primeira Liga

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Estrela Sporting CP
Estrela W L W D D L
Sporting CP W W D W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Estrela Sporting CP 0 - 1 April 11, 2026
Sporting CP Estrela 4 - 0 November 30, 2025
Estrela Sporting CP 0 - 3 March 29, 2025
Sporting CP Estrela 5 - 1 November 1, 2024
Estrela Sporting CP 1 - 2 March 29, 2024
Sporting CP Estrela 3 - 2 November 5, 2023

Estrela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Home Nacional 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Casa Pia 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home Naval 1º de Maio 2 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away SC Braga 2 - 2 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Famalicao 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Moreirense 3 - 2 Loss

Sporting CP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Home Strasbourg 7 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Celtic 4 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Torreense 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home GIL Vicente 3 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Rio Ave 1 - 4 Win
May 4, 26 Home Guimaraes 5 - 1 Win

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Sporting CP None None None None None None None None
None Estrela None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sporting CP to win
This prediction indicates that Sporting CP has a 71.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.62 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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