Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Ethiopia
Senegal
Ethiopia
D
W
W
W
L
W
Senegal
D
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Ethiopia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 26 | Home | Malawi | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Malawi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 31, 26 | Home | Sao Tome and Principe | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 27, 26 | Away | Sao Tome and Principe | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Oct 12, 25 | Away | Burkina Faso | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 8, 25 | Home | Guinea-Bissau | 1 - 0 | Win |
Senegal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Belgium | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Iraq | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Norway | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 16, 26 | Away | France | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 9, 26 | Away | Saudi Arabia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | USA | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Senegal to win
This prediction indicates that Senegal has a 56.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.73 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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