Challenger Pro League
Match Analysis
Excelsior Virton
KRC Genk II
Excelsior Virton
W
W
D
D
D
W
KRC Genk II
W
W
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | KRC Genk II | 3 - 1 | May 12, 2023 |
| KRC Genk II | Excelsior Virton | 1 - 1 | March 17, 2023 |
| Excelsior Virton | KRC Genk II | 0 - 1 | February 12, 2023 |
| KRC Genk II | Excelsior Virton | 0 - 1 | September 11, 2022 |
Excelsior Virton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | RSC Anderlecht II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lierse Kempenzonen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Strasbourg II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Rochefort | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Progres Niederkorn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | US Hostert | 1 - 0 | Win |
KRC Genk II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Lokeren-Temse | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | MVV | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Liège | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | AS Eupen | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Zelzate | 1 - 2 | Win |
Challenger Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 14 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.9% likelihood that both Excelsior Virton and KRC Genk II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Excelsior Virton to win
This prediction indicates that Excelsior Virton has a 51.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.90 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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