Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen Saturday 15th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Excelsior Virton Lierse Kempenzonen

Excelsior Virton D W W L L L

Lierse Kempenzonen D L L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lierse Kempenzonen	Excelsior Virton	2 - 2	November 27, 2022
Excelsior Virton	Lierse Kempenzonen	0 - 0	October 15, 2022
Lierse Kempenzonen	Excelsior Virton	1 - 1	April 17, 2022
Excelsior Virton	Lierse Kempenzonen	2 - 2	December 12, 2021
Excelsior Virton	Lierse Kempenzonen	2 - 1	October 16, 2021
Lierse Kempenzonen	Excelsior Virton	2 - 0	August 22, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Progres Niederkorn	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	US Hostert	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Atert Bissen	0 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	RAAL La Louvière	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	F91 Dudelange	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 25	Home	Beerschot Wilrijk	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Antwerp	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	OH Leuven	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Fortuna Sittard	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Nijlen	0 - 4	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	Lokeren-Temse	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Olympic Charleroi	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Lierse Kempenzonen	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Excelsior Virton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Lierse Kempenzonen has a 47.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.83 %

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