Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Saturday 15th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Excelsior W W W W W D

PSV Eindhoven W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
PSV Eindhoven	Excelsior	5 - 1	January 10, 2026
Excelsior	PSV Eindhoven	1 - 2	September 27, 2025
PSV Eindhoven	Excelsior	3 - 3	January 14, 2025
Excelsior	PSV Eindhoven	0 - 2	April 2, 2024
PSV Eindhoven	Excelsior	3 - 1	January 13, 2024
PSV Eindhoven	Excelsior	4 - 0	April 8, 2023

Excelsior Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Heracles	3 - 5	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	NAC Breda	1 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Dordrecht	0 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Cambuur	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Sparta Rotterdam	2 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 1	Draw

PSV Eindhoven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	FC Eindhoven	3 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Villarreal	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Union St. Gilloise	7 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Raków Częstochowa	3 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Antwerp	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Twente	5 - 1	Win

Eredivisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	PSV Eindhoven	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Excelsior	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.28% likelihood that both Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

PSV Eindhoven to win

This prediction indicates that PSV Eindhoven has a 53.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.90 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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