Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas
L
W
D
D
W
L
Argentino de Merlo
W
L
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | 1 - 1 | April 14, 2026 |
| Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | 4 - 0 | November 28, 2025 |
| Excursionistas | Argentino de Merlo | 1 - 3 | November 21, 2025 |
| Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2025 |
| Excursionistas | Argentino de Merlo | 0 - 0 | February 15, 2025 |
| Argentino de Merlo | Excursionistas | 2 - 2 | July 6, 2024 |
Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Brown DE Adrogue | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Deportivo Armenio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Flandria | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Defensores Unidos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Comunicaciones | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Argentino de Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Talleres Remedios | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Laferrere | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Brown DE Adrogue | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Armenio | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Flandria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Argentino Quilmes | 3 - 0 | Win |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | +20 | 53 |
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 51.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.78 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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