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Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 26, 2026 1 day, 3 hours ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo
Excursionistas W W L W D D
Argentino de Merlo D D W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Argentino de Merlo Excursionistas 1 - 1 April 14, 2026
Argentino de Merlo Excursionistas 4 - 0 November 28, 2025
Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo 1 - 3 November 21, 2025
Argentino de Merlo Excursionistas 2 - 1 July 5, 2025
Excursionistas Argentino de Merlo 0 - 0 February 15, 2025
Argentino de Merlo Excursionistas 2 - 2 July 6, 2024

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 1 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 5 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Flandria 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw

Argentino de Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Arsenal Sarandi 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Ituzaingó 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Deportivo Armenio 2 - 2 Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 31 17 8 6 47 24 +23 59
11 Argentino de Merlo 31 10 10 11 30 30 0 40

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 54.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.24 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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