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Primera B Metropolitana logo

Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 1, 2026 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas D D W L L W
Deportivo Armenio D D W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas 0 - 2 March 21, 2026
Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas 2 - 1 September 27, 2025
Excursionistas Deportivo Armenio 1 - 0 May 9, 2025
Excursionistas Deportivo Armenio 1 - 1 November 3, 2024
Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas 2 - 1 June 15, 2024
Deportivo Armenio Excursionistas 3 - 0 May 13, 2019

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Flandria 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Argentino Quilmes 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Away Defensores Unidos 0 - 2 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Comunicaciones 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Dock Sud 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Deportivo Merlo 5 - 0 Win

Deportivo Armenio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Arsenal Sarandi 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Argentino de Merlo 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Talleres Remedios 2 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Home Ituzaingó 2 - 1 Win

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Excursionistas 27 14 8 5 38 18 +20 50
9 Deportivo Armenio 27 10 8 9 30 31 -1 38

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 49.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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