Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Deportivo Laferrere

Excursionistas D D W L L W

Deportivo Laferrere L W W D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Laferrere	Excursionistas	1 - 0	April 4, 2026
Excursionistas	Deportivo Laferrere	1 - 2	October 21, 2025
Deportivo Laferrere	Excursionistas	2 - 0	June 1, 2025
Excursionistas	Deportivo Laferrere	4 - 0	September 20, 2024
Deportivo Laferrere	Excursionistas	2 - 3	May 5, 2024
Deportivo Laferrere	Excursionistas	1 - 1	September 4, 2023

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Flandria	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Argentino Quilmes	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Defensores Unidos	0 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Comunicaciones	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Dock Sud	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Merlo	5 - 0	Win

Deportivo Laferrere Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Talleres Remedios	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Ituzaingó	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Brown DE Adrogue	0 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Deportivo Armenio	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Flandria	1 - 2	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Argentino Quilmes	1 - 1	Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Excursionistas	27	14	8	5	38	18	+20	50
10	Deportivo Laferrere	27	10	8	9	29	32	-3	38

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Excursionistas to win

This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 51.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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