Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo Saturday 27th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Excursionistas Deportivo Merlo

Excursionistas D W W W D W

Deportivo Merlo L D L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Merlo	Excursionistas	1 - 2	February 15, 2026
Excursionistas	Deportivo Merlo	3 - 1	September 6, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	Excursionistas	3 - 2	April 20, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	Excursionistas	2 - 1	September 14, 2024
Excursionistas	Deportivo Merlo	3 - 1	April 27, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	Excursionistas	3 - 0	November 23, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Deportivo Camioneros	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sportivo Italiano	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Argentino Quilmes	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Liniers	4 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Laferrere	2 - 1	Win
May 26, 26	Home	Liniers	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Brown DE Adrogue	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	28	12	+16	42
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	26	28	-2	31

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 39.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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