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Primera B Metropolitana logo

Primera B Metropolitana

June 27, 2026 2 days, 3 hours ago
5 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Excursionistas Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas D W W W D W
Deportivo Merlo L D L W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Merlo Excursionistas 1 - 2 February 15, 2026
Excursionistas Deportivo Merlo 3 - 1 September 6, 2025
Deportivo Merlo Excursionistas 3 - 2 April 20, 2025
Deportivo Merlo Excursionistas 2 - 1 September 14, 2024
Excursionistas Deportivo Merlo 3 - 1 April 27, 2024
Deportivo Merlo Excursionistas 3 - 0 November 23, 2019

Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Deportivo Camioneros 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Sportivo Italiano 0 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home San Martín Burzaco 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Villa San Carlos 0 - 2 Win
May 27, 26 Away Argentino Quilmes 2 - 2 Draw
May 22, 26 Home Liniers 4 - 1 Win

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Arsenal Sarandi 4 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Argentino de Merlo 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 2, 26 Home Deportivo Laferrere 2 - 1 Win
May 26, 26 Home Liniers 0 - 0 Draw
May 22, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 1 Win

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 21 12 6 3 28 12 +16 42
9 Deportivo Merlo 21 8 7 6 26 28 -2 31

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Excursionistas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 39.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.75 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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