Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas
W
W
W
L
W
W
Villa San Carlos
D
D
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | Excursionistas | 0 - 2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Excursionistas | Villa San Carlos | 0 - 0 | August 22, 2025 |
| Villa San Carlos | Excursionistas | 2 - 1 | April 5, 2025 |
| Villa San Carlos | Excursionistas | 2 - 2 | July 14, 2024 |
| Excursionistas | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 0 | February 24, 2024 |
| Excursionistas | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 0 | June 30, 2019 |
Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | UAI Urquiza | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Ituzaingó | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Argentino de Merlo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Talleres Remedios | 1 - 2 | Win |
Villa San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Talleres Remedios | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Deportivo Laferrere | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Brown DE Adrogue | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Deportivo Armenio | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Flandria | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 2 | Win |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 29 | +27 | 71 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
Predictions
Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 58.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.53 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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