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Primera C

Aug. 10, 2026 9 hours ago
3 – 1
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Match Analysis

Fénix Central Ballester
Fénix D D L W L W
Central Ballester D L W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Fénix have had poor recent form, while Central Ballester come in with moderate form. Despite Fénix's historical dominance in recent meetings between these sides, their current defensive struggles cast some doubt on their ability to keep a clean sheet. The model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which suggests moderate confidence in Fénix despite their recent troubles. There are no market odds available to compare against this prediction.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central Ballester Fénix 4 - 2 April 11, 2026
Fénix Central Ballester 1 - 0 February 18, 2012
Central Ballester Fénix 0 - 3 September 10, 2011

Fénix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Away El Porvenir 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Home Yupanqui 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Home Sportivo Barracas 2 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Lujan 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 29, 26 Home General Lamadrid 3 - 1 Win

Central Ballester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Away Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Lujan 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home General Lamadrid 3 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Leones de Rosario 0 - 1 Win
Jun 30, 26 Home Atletico Atlas 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Canuelas 0 - 1 Loss

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
22 Central Ballester 21 6 5 10 19 24 -5 23
28 Fénix 22 4 7 11 13 23 -10 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Fénix to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fénix has a 35.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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