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Emperor Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 5 days, 6 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama Beluga Rosso Iwami
Fagiano Okayama W L L L W L
Beluga Rosso Iwami W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Schalke 04 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 Loss

Beluga Rosso Iwami Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Nagasaki Intl University 2 - 0 Win
May 25, 25 Home Kitakyushu 0 - 1 Loss
May 26, 24 Away Kochi United 1 - 0 Loss
May 21, 23 Home Kochi United 1 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fagiano Okayama to win
This prediction indicates that Fagiano Okayama has a 54.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.10 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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