Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki Saturday 15th August 2026 12:55 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama V-varen Nagasaki

Fagiano Okayama L L W L L W

V-varen Nagasaki L L W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
V-varen Nagasaki	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 1	May 6, 2026
Fagiano Okayama	V-varen Nagasaki	0 - 1	March 21, 2026
Fagiano Okayama	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 0	September 29, 2024
V-varen Nagasaki	Fagiano Okayama	0 - 0	May 12, 2024
Fagiano Okayama	V-varen Nagasaki	2 - 2	July 16, 2023
V-varen Nagasaki	Fagiano Okayama	0 - 0	May 17, 2023

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	FC Schalke 04	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	Werder Bremen	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1 - 2	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	SC Paderborn 07	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	SV Wehen	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Urawa	0 - 2	Win

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Utrecht	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Mito Hollyhock	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Mito Hollyhock	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	2 - 2	Draw

J1 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	V-varen Nagasaki	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Fagiano Okayama	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Fagiano Okayama to win

This prediction indicates that Fagiano Okayama has a 47.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.55 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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